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Appendix B Climate Change Factors
Climate Change in Australia
DENR 2010 report- 1980-1999 baseline
2030 projections
Variable
Season
Low emissions
Medium emissions
High emissions
10th 50th
90th
10th
50th
90th
10th
50th
90th
Temperature Annual
0.45 0.8
0.8
0.45
0.8
1.25
0.45
0.8
1.25
Summer 0.45 0.8
1.25
0.45
0.8
1.25
0.45
0.8
1.25
Autumn 0.45 0.8
0.8
0.45
0.8
1.25
0.45
0.8
1.25
Winter
0.45 0.45
0.8
0.45
0.8
1.25
0.45
0.8
1.25
Spring
0.45 0.8
1.25
0.45
0.8
1.25
0.45
0.8
1.25
Rainfall (%)
Annual
-7.5 -3.5
0
-15
-3.5
0
-15
-3.5
0
Summer -15
-3.5
7.5
-15
-3.5
7.5
-15
-3.5
7.5
Autumn -7.5 -3.5
3.5
-15
-3.5
3.5
-7.5
-3.5
3.5
Winter
-15
-3.5
0
-15
-7.5
0
-15
-7.5
0
Spring
-15
-7.5
0
-15
-7.5
0
-15
-7.5
0
2050 projections
Variable
Season
Low emissions
Medium emissions
High emissions
10th 50th
90th
10th
50th
90th
10th
50th
90th
Temperature Annual
0.8
1.25
1.25
1.25
1.75
2.25
1.25
1.75
2.25
Summer 0.8
1.25
1.75
0.8
1.75
2.75
0.8
1.75
2.75
Autumn 0.8
0.8
1.25
0.8
1.25
2.25
0.8
1.75
2.25
Winter
0.45 0.8
1.25
0.8
1.25
1.75
0.8
1.25
2.25
Spring
0.8
0.8
1.75
1.25
1.75
2.25
1.25
1.75
2.25
