219
Figure 14.3: Long term population projections for the Adelaide Statistical Division based on high, medium
and low growth scenarios
Data Source: ABS Population Projections, Australia, 2006 to 2101(Catalogue No 3222.0).
Focusing on the fifteen years to 2026,
Figure 14.4
below compares the ABS high (series A), medium
(series B) and low (series C) population projections with those prepared by the Department of Planning
and Local Government, summarised in Section 6.2.1. It is noteworthy that, due to different assumptions
about fertility, mortality and migration, that the DPLG projections project the population to grow at a much
faster rate than even the ABS high growth scenario.
The different projections/scenarios differ in terms of how quickly the population will grow. However,
regardless of the scenario chosen, it is clear that the population of the Western Adelaide region will
increase in the years ahead.
Population growth is generally associated with a number of factors that contribute to climate change,
including increased demand for resources such as land, water, energy, transportation, and waste
disposal, all of which are associated with carbon dioxide emissions. The challenge for policy makers and
communities in the Western Adelaide region is to find ways to accommodate this growth in ways that
minimise and not exacerbate climate impacts. As discussed in Section 14.3, a key land use response in
this regard is to increase residential densities and better integrate land use planning with public transport
infrastructure.
1.000.000
1.100.000
1.200.000
1.300.000
1.400.000
1.500.000
1.600.000
1.700.000
1.800.000
1.900.000
2016
2026
2036
2046
2056
Number of people
Series A (high)
Series B (moderate)
Series C (low)
